Theses

EXAMPLE · BY 2030

Next-generation geothermal reaches 1 GW in the US by 2030

Enhanced and other next-generation geothermal projects add up to 1 GW operating or under construction in the US by the end of 2030.

What would change the view: Drilling costs stop falling, or the first commercial plants run well below their rated output.

EXAMPLE · BY 2030

An advanced reactor puts power on the US grid by 2030

At least one SMR or advanced (non-light-water) reactor sells electricity to the US grid before the end of 2030.

EXAMPLE · BY 2030

Multi-day storage reaches 10 GWh in the US by 2030

Iron-air, thermal, compressed-air and other long-duration storage adds up to 10 GWh operating or under construction in the US by the end of 2030.